staking yields is testing conviction in hedging demand: reading the BTCPay Server tape
Ignoring staking yields because validator economics looks exciting is how late-cycle mistakes compound.
Cycles rhyme, but the plumbing underneath keeps changing.
Even when feeds obsess over “BTCPay Server warns of hot wallet thefts running on outdated software,” the durable question remains process versus prediction.
Most blow-ups start as comfortable consensus.
Ignoring macro liquidity because lending markets looks exciting is how late-cycle mistakes compound.
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