macro liquidity is consolidating around short-term positioning

Ignoring macro liquidity because lending markets looks exciting is how late-cycle mistakes compound.

Useful frameworks survive longer than seasonal slogans.

Put beside current chatter on “CFTC gets into legal clash over stock perps after having cleared path for crypto version,” the incentive problem looks clearer.

Cycles rhyme, but the plumbing underneath keeps changing.

Historically, stretches where risk appetite leads without support from MEV dynamics invite sharper reversals.

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