perpetual futures is testing conviction in narrative durability: reading the CFTC gets tape

Ignoring perpetual futures because treasury diversification looks exciting is how late-cycle mistakes compound.

That is why watching perpetual futures alongside treasury diversification usually explains more than chasing every alert.

Even when feeds obsess over “CFTC gets into legal clash over stock perps after having cleared path for crypto version,” the durable question remains process versus prediction.

Ignoring Bitcoin because layer-2 networks looks exciting is how late-cycle mistakes compound.

Most blow-ups start as comfortable consensus.

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