perpetual futures keeps surprising consensus on builder priorities
Ignoring custody rails because miner behavior looks exciting is how late-cycle mistakes compound.
Revisit assumptions weekly; markets change faster than slogans.
That debate sits next to today’s market focus around “Stocks Rose a Year After Every Midterm Since 1982. Will 2026 Keep the Streak?.”
Cycles rhyme, but the plumbing underneath keeps changing.
Keeping a written thesis helps avoid narrative whiplash.
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